Ondo guber: Citing the Edo Scenario

Hakeem Gbadamosi discusses the growing political activity in Ondo State as the November 16 gubernatorial election approaches, focusing on two main candidates amid intense lobbying from both sides.

Following the September 21 election in Edo State, campaign efforts in Ondo have intensified, with the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) and the opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) ramping up their activities. Although 17 parties are participating, only the APC and PDP are seen as serious contenders, with other parties like the Labour Party, Social Democratic Party (SDP), and New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) also in the race.

The APC and PDP have been exchanging criticisms regarding the recent Edo election, which the PDP deemed controversial and biased in favor of the APC candidate. This back-and-forth has drawn significant attention to the upcoming Ondo election, with many analysts focusing on its implications for the electoral process, particularly regarding the Independent National Electoral Commission’s (INEC) ability to ensure a fair election.

While the APC is riding high from its victory in Edo, the PDP believes it can achieve a significant upset. PDP leaders assert they are diligently working to eliminate any obstacles to their campaign, emphasizing that Ondo should not be viewed as easily winnable like Edo. The primary contest is set between APC candidate and incumbent governor Lucky Aiyedatiwa and PDP’s Agboola Ajayi.

Key factors may influence the election outcome, differing from the recent Edo contest. Notably, there is a lack of godfatherism in Ondo, unlike Edo, where candidates were heavily supported by political elites. Aiyedatiwa and Ajayi are running on their individual merits, having previously served as deputy governors under the late Governor Rotimi Akeredolu, making them experienced in governance.

Unlike the Edo candidates, who lacked political experience prior to their nominations, both Aiyedatiwa and Ajayi are seen as seasoned politicians. Observers anticipate a close race, noting that many voters in Edo may have cast protest votes against the PDP due to dissatisfaction with Governor Obaseki, a sentiment that could also resonate in Ondo against the APC and President Bola Tinubu’s administration.

The APC argues that Aiyedatiwa deserves re-election due to his accomplishments in his first ten months as governor. Supporters highlight his initiatives and community engagements, claiming that his performance justifies a continued mandate.

However, discontent remains within the APC following allegations of irregularities during the party’s primary elections. Some aspirants have distanced themselves from the campaign, expressing concerns about disenfranchisement in the selection process.

Despite this, Aiyedatiwa appears well-positioned for the election, bolstered by recent appointments and promises of increased wages for state workers. His growing support from prominent figures in Ondo politics suggests strong backing for his candidacy. Meanwhile, Ajayi is noted for his grassroots connections and extensive political experience, having served in various local government roles before becoming deputy governor, and is actively campaigning for PDP success.